12/12 - 12/16 Weekly Thread:

like
Posting as :
works at
You are currently posting as works at
Highlighted IconHIGHLIGHTED

Alright big week, high IV. We have the following setup:
-major indexes remain at higher levels after repricing based on the last inflation print which showed deceleration
-markets expect a .50bp increase from the fed

I fully expect the fed to go ahead with the .50 and I fully expect to see continued deceleration in the print.
I say this based on
-energy prices lower than expected for winter
-housing prices cooling
-true read through of the jobs data shows fed is not breaking the economy, more ‘resignation’ people returning to work is GOOD news for softer landing and fed credibility

I think we will have some vol crush, so looking at a bearish option trade but my long portfolio of heavy dividends (staples, finance, energy, industrials, materials) is still near ATH and I’m letting the longs ride.

That said, what are the tactical bears in this group buying this week?

like

My vol call didn’t work out bc I held too long but everything else has played out as hoped.
I’m raking in more dividends than ever before based on value positioning and will probably just continue to deploy capital going forward especially if we dip further post-Santa.

I think any Q1 any volatility / downdraft that rolls around is time to go heavy

My put orders triggered in the morning and they seem to be up nicely by eod :)

If only I had gotten more

Recent IconRecent

Not a Tsla moonboy by any sense, but what if this was all just a retest of the breakout in 2021.... JK

I would love to see it back to 50

Post Photo
like

I can see it touch 150, possibly lower. Any good news on the horizon?

Mid morning short was rewarding. I did a very small scalp AMD. Shorted shares at 74 and bought 70P OTM put for Jan. Bought back shares and sold 50% of my puts.

like

A win is a win

Bonds and Dollar holding while the rest of the market sells off. Back to normal risk off behavior.

Although the VIX is being supressed, I would have expected a higher VIX based on the moves of the past few days

like

M1, you could get a relief rally.

We saw great rallies this week and last on actual news and they lasted a couple hours. The economic data on retail sales and PMI Thurs and Fri is bearish and the LT unemployment rate is now up 3 months in a row.

The Santa rally isn’t guaranteed…

helpful

Took $0.02 90 DIS calls today for a 1000% ride.

I was trading in and out of it last week. Had a solid drop to support today so when it was trading at $89 around 2pm I decided to take a gamble on a late day rally back. Market also felt ripe for a late day bounce back given it held the lows of the day well.

like

Was holding a large leveraged short position on BTC for almost a year and a half and cashed out all but 10% of what I hadn’t bought back yet two weeks ago. Didn’t want to be at risk of a liquidation so I had to ensure I had plenty of cash on hand in my Kucoin account. I saw an opportunity with the recent market bounce to shift the funds while there is a huge degree of uncertainty in next crypto move.

This feels reminiscent to the drops in early 2018 and late 2018, guessing by late Feb/early March 2023.

smart

Cashed in on AAPL puts from yesterday for a 40% gain. Maybe I should’ve held longer

STA - how are the spy and AAPL charts looking?

I was expecting aapl to hold the 140 mark. Kinda scary to see it go to 135 right away

Thoughts on buying Tesla calls for a bounce by tomorrow?

If you liked TLT yesterday you'll love it today ... lol. This 106.5 area was the better entry, hard to see on the chart but a longer term support/resistance

Post Photo
like

What does this mean in lamens terms? I feel great but not sure if i should close all my february 17th puts now or keep holding halfnor more.

I’ve been trimming and closing shorts all morning. Most of them are down to minimum sizes now.

I’ve done well managing the volatility this week and I’m fine with getting lower exposure and cash to redeploy next week.

like

Related Posts

how hard is it to pivot from producing to a project management role?

like

Is there some type of fellowship program for obtaining all the AWS certs? Similar to being an AWS hero or an APN ambassador?

like

Bold move A&M. What are the the thoughts on the inside? Are there people planning to take the unpaid leave or quit?

Post Photo
like

Hello
I recently Passed the PMP,
Now looking for next should I go for PSM1 or PMI ACP.
Little worry which one to take.

I want to learn Agile method so I can apply it to current process

like

Hi
I am Mahesh
Now ready to join immediately for Accounts Payable with 25 years experience in proper books keeping and accounting of manufacturing tower crane and civil engineering

like

What are the best options to get into legal nurse consulting/ chart nurse reviewer positions without having an LNC certification?

like

Does promotion happen while you're on bench in IT companies?
Hi All, I've completed two years in my current company and I was recently released from my project and my manager is trying to assign me to a new project hopefully.
My question is, will my promotion happen as I was eligible for the same and I was released to the bench as I'll be moving on to another project soon. Can someone enlighten me on this?

like

How to sell skills?

like

What do you all do when you've just had it with your career? I'm BEYOND burnt out, never see my family, haven't had time to pursue any personal interests outside of work, feel like crap. I'm ready to throw in the towel.

like

I'm junior accountant, and asking the group: what's the best advice you've ever received?

like

Question. How many people here actively voice they are in recovery at work events to explain why they don’t drink as opposed to just declining the drink? Why or why not?

like

In what cases is VC worth it at the lower non partner level, given that it's top heavy and paths to partner don't really exist? And outside of pre MBA?
Seems like a very narrow field with narrow exits?

like

Any thoughts on the best certifications to get in order to help move forward? I have considered the CCP from World at Work, but it’s fairly pricey to get by the time you wrap up everything. I was looking at both SHRM-CP and SPHR. Everyone that I have spoken to has the SHRM, but that’s also only looking at individuals in a small geographic footprint and within 3-4 different companies. I was hoping to get some thoughts on this from others? Thanks

I have a little over a month to study for Reg while working full time. Anyone have luck with CPA Ninja or Super Fast CPA? Any other recommendations? I lose BEC in September so I’m aiming for a miracle

like

Studying before and after work and starting to get depressed. All I do is study and work. I want to light my Becker book on fire and shove my head through a window.

like

Two days until REG. Any last minute advice?

like

Got an offer for ACII at Putnam Associates. Any insight on their experience, career progression, and exits would be greatly appreciated!

like
like

For an EB3 GC app (still at PWD and taking ages). Do i need to live in the same location as the PWD or can i move there at a later stage of the GC process?

like

$110k for a SC in NYC in a Risk Advisory type practice. Am i being lowballed?

like

Additional Posts in Option Traders & Investing

New to options. Why do you all buy UVXY options and not the ETF itself when u think the market is going to tank? Don’t options present the added complexity of vol and risk of order not filling?

like

This guy is legit 😂

Post Photo
likefunny

Hey everyone! I want to learn but there is so much information. What tips can you suggest for a novice trader?

like

9/22 Thread (General):

like

I think we are gonna see a repeat of last week with stocks crashing again EOW and Monday

like

Anyone making any moves on NVIDIA before end of day?

like

So another flat day huh!!!

likefunny

CCIV call option 2/19 as of lasy Friday: $650. Wooo wonder how much it will open at :)

like

November 8 UBER puts for lockup period expiration. People gonna get nervous about it given the beating BYND took. Also can ride a general market decline on the high P/E ratio companies

Playing the very dangerous game of trying to call the top on STMP with puts expiring tomorrow - what are everyones thought on this, i think 150

like

HOW DO I SELL MY PURCHASED OPTION ON FIDELITY?!

likefunny

Anyone thinking VIX is a good idea for Monday open?

like

Best way to trade this Tesla stock split? I know the Robinhood boys will bump if up when they see it at $400. I still see it as a terrible investment. Want in when it’s available to everyone at $400 and then will sell out immediately

like

GW Pharma or GrowGeneration for long term marijuana play?

like

What earnings strategy has worked for y’all in these times? I’ve tanked the spreads almost every time. Thinking to straddle this week.

like

-32% on MSFT calls. Ride through ER it cut losses? 6/19 200c.

like

Question on QYLD - as they are writing calls on the tech heavy Nasdaq and these tech stocks continue to do well, does it make sense that they are losing more money than they make on the premium as the calls will be executed?

like

New to Fishbowl?

Download the Fishbowl app to
unlock all discussions on Fishbowl.
That was just a preview…
Sign Up to see all discussions
  • Discover what it’s like to work at companies from real professionals
  • Get candid advice from people in your field in a safe space
  • Chat and network with other professionals in your field
Sign up in seconds to unlock all discussions on Fishbowl.

Already a user?
Login here

Share

Embed this post

Copy and paste embed code on your site

Preview

Download the
Fishbowl app

See what’s happening in your industry
from the palm of your hand.

A phone with Fishbowl app

Scan your QR code to download
Fishbowl app on your mobile

Download app

Sign up for free to view this conversation on Fishbowl

By continuing you agree to Terms of Use and Privacy Policy

Already have an account? Log in

Sign up for free to continue using Fishbowl

By continuing you agree to Terms of Use(New) and Privacy Policy(New)
Messaging rates may apply

Already have an account? Log in

For account settings, visit Fishbowl on Desktop Browser or

General

Legal