All else being equal (and appreciating this is incredibly variable)…how would you go about anticipating growth in share price from series a to b,c+ if co. X is series a and strike price of shares are $10, what would be “reasonable” growth in stock of each progressive rd? Any data points?

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Series A investors typically hope for a 10x return on their money in 5 years. But a majority of those companies won’t make it that far. Investors will spread their bets across 10 companies hoping that one hits big.
So it’s a gamble, and I wouldn’t count on the stock as part of your retirement plan until the company starts getting a lot of traction.

If you can get your hands on the company’s investor deck that will tell you what the company projects for revenue. Take that number and divide it in half (or assume it will take twice as long to get there).

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Agree with CEO1, with the additional comment that, where you carry the asset depends a bit on how you got it / why you have it. As an investor, you’ll want to model based on the investor deck you received, get updates from time to time, and mark it against your other speculative positions.
As a potential employee considering an offer, value it vs other compensation based on your ability to impact the success trajectory and/or belief in viability… but be careful trading much, if any, salary for it.
As a current employee, just consider it a lottery ticket and park it in your mental background. It will likely be worth zero, but there’s an outside chance you win something.
It’s a net-good thing that I personally find motivating, but don’t get too wrapped up in the fantasy.

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Fair and with these massive avg. series A rounds (and growing), it’s hard not to get wrapped up

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