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Problem w 10y returns now is it’s been all tech / growth / risk on for 10 years... not many have been battle tested
Allocation matters 50x more than active/passive. I always like when biz news spends their time on things that aren’t really that important. My other belief in investing is that when everyone is saying the same thing it’s almost always wrong.
So true! It's like the confidence index!
I would say over the long term yes but in the short term it is proven active can out perform passive. But long term passive outperform active and active can even underperform. So I would say diversify and only leave money in an active account short term
I only use active when they beat their index more years than mor in the last 10, otherwise I use an index.
As clients get more conservative I also use indexes since we are no longer trying to out perform.
Both work
Which indexes to use is the real question. Even the “passive” investors have to choose how much international, EM, REIT, Bonds (what types). Target dates have underperformed a lot which helps advisors