Anyone know where I can find the latest US death numbers compared to previous years? Not just Corona numbers, deaths in general? TIA

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Taken from the link posted above.

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https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

Now I’m curious, how many more deaths compared to what predicted by your model? It’s an interesting metric as probably more people die because of the covid crisis, even if they don’t get the virus.

Being extremely cynical ... Do you think deaths will go below the predictive historical pattern once the coronavirus is over, according to the (unproven) theory that the virus is accelerating deaths that would have happened anyways in the near future? Do you have a way to run the same analysis and model by age group ?

Yes, I think all things equal covid has pulled death forward and death will undershoot any static model.

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