Do BAs work on guesstimates?

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Nope, estimation is tech teams work

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Nice analysis. That's how I started except I used the population number to be 10lakh out of which 65% have smartphones and the rest have feature phone.
She cut me out right there saying "do you think everyone in Mumbai have phones?"

Business Analysts (BAs) typically rely on data-driven analysis and evidence-based methodologies to make informed decisions and recommendations. While BAs may need to make estimates or projections in certain situations, such as forecasting future trends or assessing potential outcomes, these estimates are typically based on available data, historical patterns, and statistical modeling techniques.

Guesstimates, on the other hand, are rough approximations or educated guesses that are not necessarily based on rigorous analysis or data. While BAs may use their professional judgment and experience to provide rough estimates in some cases, it is generally preferred to rely on more robust methodologies and data-driven approaches whenever possible.While BAs may occasionally need to provide estimates or projections, they primarily rely on data analysis and evidence-based techniques rather than guesstimates

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Yeah but you can't have a healthy discussion when someone's just trying to flex and feed their ego in an interview nonetheless

These kind of questions can be asked in an interview. Usually by product companies. The important point is asking questions, explicitly stating assumptions, and then logically tackling the problem. There can be multiple ways to approach the problem. As long as you have some structure in your approach, it should be fine.

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