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Long term? I don’t know how you can be pessimistic.
Wouldn't it pay to been keen and rational of the market rather than blatantly optimistic or pessimistic
Optimistic. Unfortunately I am not. The money is made on the turns and in bubbles. I'm a grind it out guy unfortunately there will be no retirement trade for me...
It has paid so far to be an optimist so I will choose to be an optimist going forward.
Be realistic.. If you scare your clients too much, you'll always underperform. Always an optimist, your clients will think you've lost your mind.
Just keep a level head, look at bull and bear cases, assign probabilities and trust your analysis. If you're wrong >50% of the time for an extended period, then find a new career away from investing.
You must be rational and then optimistic. My clients know that I cannot predict nor control the market, and they know that I've done a great job for them when their portfolio is flat during the next 30% downturn. The majority of my job is behavioural management, not picking the next hot investment.
Things go up and down but they go up way more often than they go down. I’ll take the better odds. Pessimism sells on fear and sells annuities
"We are cautiously optimistic."