Figure this deserves its own thread:

Those that believe a repeat of 2017/2018 is inevitable, share predictions for:
1. When will the top be for BTC and Alts
2. How big of a crash for each?

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With institutional, hedge funds, endowment funds and corporate treasuries invested in crypto and also the retail money is more hodlers, there won't be any crash any more. BTC would go up and up and then stabilize. Its Gold 2.0.

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Yes but remember those fund managers have to book profits and those funds can only hold crypto max at 10% of their total portfolio exposure - unless you’re purely a crypto fund.

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I’ll start:

BTC peak October 2021 > 65% crash
Alts peak November 2021 > 90% crash

Believer in S2FX / 4 year cycle theory

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Agree. Cycle is 18 months I think. Capital is cheap and abundant and we won’t see the returns in tech that we saw in the 2017-2020 era. So I think 65% and 90% happens (I hope so!) But it bounces back faster.

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This always happens. The 2017/18 correction wasn’t even the biggest. Timing the market is basically impossible.
But I believe BTC will go to $100k then 250k and then $500k plus eventually. Just hodl!

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What copywriter said. Take profits. Buy dips. Buy and hold will not work because 70% of value can be killed in a month.

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I don’t think BTC ever dips below 30k again.

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Could be true. Depending on the bitcoin highs this time around

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I am stealing this prediction but I agree with it.
2 pops.
1st in late March. BTC from around 70k back to around 35k
2nd in early December. BTC from 200k to 30k.

Alts drawdown 95% by 2022.

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I hope you’re right about the second one 🍆🍆🍆🚀

September 2022. Bitcoin starts with a parabolic fall. ALTS follow. ~80% retrace

BTC Target -100-150k
ETC Target -10 -20k

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I'm calling a peak of 120-150K Bitcoin to be reached in 2021, and 8K-10K ethereum to be reached in 2022. I have a hunch that staking in ethereum is going to take off later this year.

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Those ST cap gains make the “take profits” thing suck for DCAers, recent buyers, etc.

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Why do you think alt coins will crash after Bitcoin? I think alts will crash before or at the same time as Bitcoin because they seem to follow the price of BTC.

Simple answer: Because that’s what happened last time, and the same trend is occurring again - Bitcoin pumps, stabilizes, alt coins pump, then rinse repeat

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What's your 🔮 telling you about BTC price right before a crash?

Parabolic downwards move with speed. You can’t get out at the top, but you can before a full retrace

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The people moving the market this time are hedge fund managers. Do you think Paul Tudor Jones is going to panic sell his bitcoins at the first sign of a dip?

No, he'll short the market when he believes the time is right. Then the market sentiment will change quickly and the crash is inevitable. Then bear market approx 2 year. Then bull again 2024.

Disclaimer: I could be wrong.

OP till what price will you hodl say before October-> btc- 70k.. Eth-3k, or hold through the predicted crash..

I’ll hold 70% of my coins through the predicted crash.

Only plan on selling ~30% of my coins before October. Have a few levels on the way up and plan on selling in steps.

My first Eth purchase was around $1,200... held that to $80... brutal, and don’t want to do that again haha

Also don’t think institutions are paper handed. But if they have to deliver profits to shareholders, and the market tanks, and their BTC holdings are up 700%, I could see them cashing out to cover losses.

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I’m thinking BTC will climb steadily to $150k - $200k, then do a parabolic double in a month, which will signal the top for me.

It's smart assuming gradual growth despite the dips. The rise of institutions makes me feel that the next dip won't be as severe. Early on, Bitcoin went from $2 to $32 to $2. 🤣

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At $GNT event

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