Have a semi-lateral MBB offer (currently Manager at a boutique strategy shop) - Advice appreciated

I am a non traditional background consulting manager with industry experience, on the older side due to switching my career in the middle. I have been actively looking for an industry role for the past few months, but this MBB firm reached out of the blue, I was like why not and ended up getting an offer.

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I have been actively looking because my current situation at the firm isn’t great and I am not expecting strong support over the next few years.

Here are pros and cons of the offer from my view. This is for North America.

Pros

+ My bschool buddies and ex colleagues who work at the group (from which I received the offer from) say the work is interesting, culture is good
+ I honestly enjoy the work i do currently. This is a chance to continue to develop my expertise in this area (offer is not an expert track but still from this specific group)
+ I am told that exit options will be superb, should it come to this down the road
+ As mentioned above, i am trying to gtfo asap from my firm currently

Cons

- at my current boutique, i have a strong reason to believe i will get my promotion in the next 6 to 12 months, to the pre-partner equivalent level. The offer is a first year EM/PL/CL so I would effectively lose about 2-3 yrs of tenure
- Expected time to partner in my current firm will be minimum 5 yrs, at this MBB time to partnership will be 6 yrs if everything goes right
- My boutique does not have up or out but MBB obviously does. The prospect of failing in my first year and getting quickly counseled out is my biggest hear
- TC takes a sizable hit. Base will decrease by $40k (which is almost daycare money)
- I don’t travel much in my current role but MBB likely will have much more
- I am expecting WLB to be much worse, though my current strategy shop is a sweatshop too

That about covers it. Appreciate any advice from those who might have been in a similar situation before

Thanks for sharing.

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