How long do you think the housing market is going to stay like this? I’m hoping to sell my house and move by the end of this year but I’m not quite ready yet. Starting to feel paranoid that by the time I decide to list things will have settled down and I won’t get an offer over asking.

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It seems like this may continue for a while and then have a slow turndown. Something to keep in mind though is that if you sell while the market is high and need to purchase your next home, you are also buying that next property at a higher value. Whereas if you wait and the value of your home does drop, so will all the comps and likely anything you look to purchase. Unless you have a place to live for free to sell high and wait it out to buy low, I don’t see much benefit in worrying about timing your move with the market.

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As someone who’s family lost 10+ million in the last recession…. You have a few years before anything happens. Look to the end of the moratorium on rent payments. Once that ends I assume many people will fail to pay the rent that they owe and landowners will take the hit causing a minor setback. But real estate is predominantly slow and won’t negatively react for at least 6-12 months, if at all. And this is all under the assumption that there will be a massive “failure to pay” from lower income communities similar to that of the subprime mortgage crisis that will unfortunately impact everyone. Will last less than 5 years. Prob small.

Super long term (10+ years out) you have to consider that there is an imbalance with value between wage growth and rent/home price growth that will soon lead to a massive reversal or uncle Sam’s intervention. Why? Becuase it’s not just a single regional market it’s homes everywhere that are outpacing stable value growth.

Thats a really good question. I am surprised it has stayed like this, this long. It feels like it should settle down anytime now.

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