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If the corona virus continues to spiral, I'm calling it as a possible trigger for the next recession

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On top of China's sluggish growth and the slowdown in trade it might well cause a global crisis, but it's looking like it's more contained than we thought.

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I'm afraid the cases have picked up lately again but the fatality rate has gone down

Good luck with that prediction. It's hard to ever pinpoint what's going to be the trigger. Look at the market reaction to SARs -- nothing.

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It's like predicting a car crash

I see COVID-19 as a disruption to businesses which would affect the global supply chain. I don’t see a recession coming at this moment because governments are responding with strong fiscal spending to tide this period over. We have to wait and see what the Chinese government (in terms of their fiscal package) is going to do before we can jump to any conclusions.

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