If your role is primarily coding-based, how do you feel about the rapid advancements in AI?

Do you think there's a real possibility that AI could replace your job within the next 5 years?

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I’m not concerned about AI replacing my job. I’ll probably be laid off before it is even a tiny bit capable of doing any role completely independently. AI has been around for a long time now, and still has a long way to go in my opinion, before it is really capable of what the majority of employees do.

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Thank you for sharing your views on the subject. I believe you're right and that we're still quite a ways away before that reality is here based on the MUCH smarter people I've asked this about.

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AI won’t get rid of software engineers/coders. But it will reduce the amount of software engineers needed for projects/jobs. So yes I would be a bit worried due to the increase in competition in the field.

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My advice to SWE’s is to try and transition to product or program management. They still need US based people to lead and direct these offshore teams. There are too many non technical PM’s that should be replaced with people with coding experience.

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AI, offshore, they’ve been after our jobs for years. They still need to know what to build, how it should be implemented, how the code meets a companies policies. AI also can’t really navigate company processes. Not much will change, we’ll be able to do more with less. I think the stock market is realizing AI revenue is hard to measure. How do you measure 10 hours a week saved by AI per employee? I think you could see fewer Google searches, probably faster innovation, it could make companies more profitable, might increase GDP as it’s a measure of productivity. Typically GDP increases with population so that’s kind of interesting to increase productivity with AI, robotics, automation.

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For coding specifically it’s on par with IDE’s vs coding in a text editor. It’s similar to devops, CI/CD. Developers should be focusing on learning more strategy, vision, big picture program type stuff. Reasoning and decision making is where current AI is incapable. Coding is about 5% of what I do. I was told this year it’s too low value at my level. Also position yourself in an area where you grow with AI. I specialize in integration, API’s, data. Data Science is just another team, like a payments team. At the heart of it they all want secure access to data. AI still needs access to various vendors software to do anything complex on our behalf. More work for me.

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It won’t replace, rather it will increase how much you are expected to have done.

Personally don’t work with coding but I have been given a take home assessment that from one company that legitimately cannot be done without AI.

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Yeah, I'm seeing people leaning on it and learning how to leverage it to get a lot more done. Makes sense.

Not worried. I have a job now that didn't exist in this form when I graduated highschool in the '90s.

I remember when Excel was going to replace all accountants. 😂

Like Excel, AI is just another tool to learn to do the job better and faster.

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That's another great analogy, I do remember when some of that was going around. There is always the hype around it but I also believe a lot of the tech orgs are also finding out how expensive it is to invest in scaling.

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AI is just another form of scripting. Someone has to program the robots, and AI will always fail on a percentage of tasks. Also, garbage ideas like synthetic data will cause real-world failures. There is this odd idea among coders that data has no actual meaning. This abstraction of reality will always lead to bad assumptions and humans have to set the requirements. Someone has to check things and see that artificial intelligence is working. Also, not everything that can be automated should be. Massage chairs are no substitute for a masseuse.

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I’m not sure LLMs will continue to advance in a linear or exponential rate, more like logarithmic. It’s jaw-dropping technology right now. But remember when the iPhone first released? It gets incrementally better but some people expect game-changing releases every year.

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That's a great analogy! I'm not enough in the know to say one way or the other, but the smart people I talk to go between this is exponential and your take so I imagine it'll be somewhere in between.

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Its the “slow boiled frog” situation. Everyone saying it wont replace me- but it may replace a piece of you this year, another next year, and the year after. Until your incremental value is less than a 10% IRR, and management cuts you.

I would be worried if your not feeling worried. The first to go are these ones.

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Except the “slow boiled frog” tale is just that, a tale. It’s a myth. It’s fake.

The premise may seem reasonable, but there’s no evidence that things actually work like that.

I’m quite positive with the rate technology seems to be advancing. There will always be machine operating jobs to some extent.

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My job? Unlikely. AI couldn't do what I do. It requires human creativity.

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Then sounds like you're in a good position for the future.

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