Is Nate Silver's career over? This is a huge hit for him; he missed a lot this election.

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His model was still better than the others. Everyone was wrong

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Last week he was getting flak for not giving HRC a higher probability of winning. He was wrong, but less wrong than most others

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If you listen to their podcast like I do, they were the only people who I heard saying "Guys this is legit. You must go vote. Trump can absolutely actually win this" whereas everyone else just shrugged it off and assumed it'd be fine.

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He'll play it off as his model simply reflecting the polls. He's a liberal hack, regardless.

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It's hard to predict a rigged election

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Sorry that should be Hillary with 90 and 99

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Guys, 65% probability is slightly better than a coin toss. That the 35% won out doesn't make him "wrong. He caveated his projections throughout with explanations about undecided voters and other pieces of data that couldn't be captured.

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So did everyone else

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@ACN, true. And while many missed the 'Signal in the Noise', if you will, I think many people won't cut him that slack.

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Lol people on FB were giving him shit the night before the election because he gave trump 30% chances to win. Other modelers were giving him 90% and others >99%

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Yes, his model was better than the others. And polls did end up within the normal margin of error...

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He was off because of the silent majority. People who were polled did not answer honestly. It is what it is.

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I'm done with him. Not because he got it wrong, everyone did. But he manually manipulated his models, which is a giant no-no in my book. If you followed his live blog, he started making states too close to call once they showed Trump had a higher chance of winning. Your model works and accurately takes into account turnout and remaining vote share, let it do its thing, don't manipulate it when you don't like results. Additionally, they had a really grating post yesterday "We didn't go 51 for 51 this time" really Nate?

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Dumb question but heard this from someone wanting to confirm (feels untrue) but if Deloitte sponsors you do you not have to take the GMAT/GRE?

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Hi,

I'm looking for a UX designer job in Chennai. Please let me know if any of you could refer. I have 3+ years of relevant experience. I use Adobe XD, Miro and Invision's Freehand for my designs. I have worked on projects related to mobile as well as web design (mostly dashboards).

Anybody located in Austin Texas area?

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Thanks!!!

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Has anyone gone CAIA route ?

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Thoughts on membership clubs in DC? (I.e. george town, university, etc) A colleague mentioned the other day that he’s a part of a club and am now intrigued (not that I can get in). Recently moved back to the DMV and think I just miss socializing with like minded people/sense of community 🥲

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I need to send a lit writing sample asap. I haven’t done any significant memo writing or doc drafting as I’m looking to change practice groups (mostly did research sent via email) Do you have any suggestions or tips to bust out or modify a nice lit writing sample? Thanks everyone!

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Anyone here retire in late 30s or know someone that has?

I must confess I am looking for the mysterious 27yo DC Data Analyst whose post disappeared here; find me

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My AD never brings ideas to the table. I’ve mentioned this already to higher ups. It’s beyond a lazy thing-he’s just not a conceptual thinker...

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Thoughts on space tourism? I find it a bit distasteful, personally

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I have an offer of 5.5 LPA in hand. Can I ask for 50 % of the hike on my current offer to an another company during HR discussion?

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When I started my job I agreed to a hybrid schedule but a couple of days ago my boss had a meeting with our team and told us WFH is no more for me and another person. BUT one other person can still work hybrid because that is their agreement.

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Industry people when they see sexy slides: 😍🤗

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T-7 until I lift off and never come back to the client site... Until next Monday 😞

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So what is the grid for S& (level,base, bonus...)

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