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Looking at the inflation in USA and other things, I believe we are heading right their
It depends. Recession doesn't come or go instantly. It is driven by macros which itself is a ecosystem of different things. Current inflation scenarios are more due to rising tensions and sanctions on Russia. This has created scarcity which is being taken advantage by gulf countries by increasing oil prices along with other commodities.
So the only way out is ending the cold war going on between Russia and rest of the west world.
Also current inflation does not take into consideration the last 2 interest rates hike. These rate hike will be reflecting in inflation data by next quarter. So we all will be aware by next quarter.
As per my analysis, inflation has peaked out and very less chances of getting into recession unless there is some more geopolitical development.