Meaningless question, but I'm bored from my consultant analyzing at the moment.

Do you think more people would be vaccinated if Trump had won the election?

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Without a doubt, overall vaccinations would be higher but the roll out probably would have been garbage.

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Another data point for the Trump base’s capacity for rational thought — “Trump did an amazing job on warp speed and should get a lot of credit for that but he lost so I’m not going to take the vaccine and instead plan to expose myself to a deadly disease.”

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Sarah Sanders came out the other day as having received the “Trump Vaccine.”

If it was branded as such, every red hater would descend from the mountains and fight each other to get an injection... so yes?

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Do you think it's people wanting to see Biden fail, or non-urban areas not really being affected very meaningfully by covid (i.e. why bother getting vaccinated because the risk isn't high)? Or a combination of the two?

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The overall desire to get vaccinated might have been higher amongst republicans for as long as we could depend on trump taking the opportunity to pat himself on the back and tout his warp speed accomplishment which was then interpreted by his base as a call to get vaccinated. That said, I am not certain one would lead to two.

Additionally, it is a very possible that trump’s braggadocious warp speed rhetoric (and notably without the safety messaging that would be needed from trustworthy and reliable sources) would increase weary American’s (largely Democrat’s) hesitancy and distrust.

With that, I would venture to say no, vaccination rates might be higher than they are now but still low amongst republicans and lower than they are now amongst democrats= net lower vaccination rate.

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This statement feels right to me. Only color that I can add from my view is that Republican voters tend to be in less dense populations and/or warmer climates that were not hit hard by covid, so probably would still not be very motivated to get the shots.

Trump created the vaccine and Al Gore ceeated the internets. Politicians should not legislate and instead do scientific research.

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Interesting question. If Trump was in office would Dems decline the vaccine because Trump told them to get it?

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Not if it went through trials in the way that it did, I think.

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Overlap between preexisting anti vax crowd and trump crowd exists so hard to say for sure. Absolutely would have helped had trump and cronies not politicized it, but the reality is that this was an inevitability because the crux of the trump presidency was distrust of institutions and attempts to diminish their credibility in the eyes of the public. Anti institutions people are often anti vax…

The vax (and public health / rationalism in general) is totally antithetical to the trump presidency / mindset of the Trump voter… so honestly it’s hardly a question. Maybe maybe trump’s narcissism could have been employed here, but it’s hard to imagine it would really do much

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