Model this market scenario: A second wave hits China. Becomes very apparent in 1-2 weeks even with their falsified reports. Other countries hold current state. US lockdown to continue past May

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I see this as very likely but am no market expert. Hypotheticals can be fun there’s no right/wrong answers here, but I am curious peoples first impressions of what could happen! Didn’t mean for the post to be stand-off ish.

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Well my crystal ball says for sure there will be another precipitous drop. Because economic fundamentals will get even way worse due to more prolonged shutdown. I highly doubt the market has priced in a second wave or this going longer than May.

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That's the most probable scenario. Look at the famous modeling of Imperial College, they predict two peaks at least, or a recurring model of open-close. Until we find a vaccine, we ain't have any normality, because it's impossible to eradicate this bug.

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What are you asking us to do? Predict a hypothetical situation? The market is hard enough to predict as is lol

US lockdown will probably continue until at least mid May and most likely June. By Jun 1 we will have flattened or it will be really bad.

We started this stay at home thing like 2 weeks ago. Who is getting sick now?

I think I’ve been watching too much Billions

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