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Faking it until I make it
I. Can’t. Take. This. Any. More.
What’s everyone drinking right now?
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Chief
IF the vaccine comes out. No guarantees.
People will still get it. But it will be manageable. The hospital will have room to properly care for those who do get sick and won’t be overrun with those who are infected.
Chief
The vaccine is to boost the immune response to the virus to avoid the lung damage, organ failure, etc. As EY1 said, this will lower the burden on the health system because theoretically even those vaccinated against the diseases who contract it should not end up in the ICU, etc in great numbers.
Rising Star
Hard to say. Flu mutates frequently. So far, evidence suggests COVID does not.
Yeah, all viruses mutate EY2, but so far C19 doesn’t seem to be mutating enough to be a problem. It’s apparently relatively quite a stable virus. It can mutate as much as it wants so long as the mechanisms the vaccine makes use of still work against the virus.
If you get a flu vaccine and still get the flu strain for which you were vaccinated, your symptoms are generally weaker and recovery time shorter.
Pro
There are many influenza viruses. And as someone above noted, they are constantly drifting or changing. Because we need the vaccine at the start of flu season and the vaccine needs to be developed each season, experts have to predict which virus strains they think will be circulating in the upcoming flu season and create the vaccine based on this prediction. Because the viruses change and because we need to predict in advance of the flu season, effectiveness of the flu vaccine has ranged anywhere from ~20-60% over the seasons.
I’m less versed in this specific coronavirus, but it doesn’t seem to be drifting or changing like the influenza viruses making the likelihood that, once a vaccine is developed, it’s effectiveness will likely be higher (if compared to the flu vaccine) and more consistent for a period of time.
Chief
Thank you for asking the question I’ve thought all along. We have a flu vaccine and antivirals for the flu and we still lose 30k-60k and see 400k-750k hospitalizations annually.
I’m not so certain that a COVID vaccine would be much different from a flu vaccine. We’re still going to have hospitalizations and death.
I also want to add just because there’s a vaccine doesn’t mean people will get it. How many people actively get the flu vaccine every year? I know I get it, but majority of my friends do not. I’ve seen stats from the CDC that show under 50% of adults get the flu vaccine. Unless a vaccine becomes mandated (which it won’t as we’ve seen with the antivaxer trend) the above points will still happen for COVID.
Chief
They’ve been working on the HIV vaccine since the 80’s, so I wouldn’t bank on a vaccine being sent to market to cure this, manage it better maybe we’ll see
Yeah, the vaccine is a maybe. Effective treatments will come faster...hopefully.
Vaccine would be very effective just like vaccines for chickenpox, polio, etc. Those infections have pretty much disappeared. Flu changes every year so the vaccine formula is a guessing game every year.
The flu vaccine doesn’t mean that you 100% won’t get the flu, but it helps your body prepare in case you do catch it. Then if you catch it, it impacts your body on a much smaller scale than if you had not gotten the vaccine. Nothing is 1000% effective so when we have the covid vaccine, people will still get sick and some will still die but the numbers will be significantly decreased, our hospitals will no longer be overwhelmed, and the spread will slow