Really struggling with where to invest a few 100Ks (depreciating in the bank currently) in this market. Everything is at historically high price and it seems like I might just wait out for next large dip in 5-6 months vs investing now? What is your advice? Any stocks/ETFs?

likefunny
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If you look back 5-6 months, weren't we at historical highs at that moment in time?

If you're investing the money for the long run, there's no point in trying to time this. We could be at new historic highs in 5 months, or we could be at a 1-5 year low. No one knows.

If you're investing for 10 years, you're almost guaranteed to make more money with it invested now vs in a bank account.

Why not put in $10k a week. Average out your risk.

But tbh, let's say you put it in now and the stock market crashes. History says you'll still be fine 5-10 years later (look at how 2008 recovered). Would you have even better off if you put the money in after a dip or after a crash? Yes. But you have no idea when that may or may not happen and you're just sitting on the sidelines waiting.

Look at how many people have been waiting since Jan 2020 or March 2020 for some big(ger) dip. Look at how much the stock market has grown in the last 1.5 years...

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Hate to be that guy, but Pe is pretty useless. Schiller used cape in the 90s to predict zero returns for the next decade. He was wrong. The cape was around 25 back then, which is insanely high as the historical average was around 15.

It’s around 38 right now, which is why everyone is predicting a crash. But there is no proof that a cape of 38 is overvalued, no natural law that says a high cape necessitates lower future returns. It was just a bunch of academics mining past data. Once cape was invented, it immediately stopped working.

Which is why i say, ignore the noise and invest. No one knows nothing; the only constant is that over the long run, the market will make you money. Unless you’re close to retirement, invest and dont let the fear stop you.

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Create a timeline to dollar cost average back in over the next two years. 15 k a month etc

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Bitcoin

helpful

Time in > Timing... every day and twice on the days of historical highs

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Buy the SQQQ for the next 2 and a half months while the market has a healthy correction and then switch it to a growth ETF that meets your needs

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Don’t try to time the market. If the money will be invested long term, just invest it now. If it is needed in the near term don’t invest it

If you want to hedge your bets you could dump a portion into a bank account bonus (Citi has $700 bonus for new account that has $50k balance for 60 days) and immediately invest the rest. Then, after bonus is paid out, which could take another month or two, you close or downgrade the account and either invest the rest or invest most of it and find another smaller bonus and repeat.

That’s amazing…thanks…other tips welcome!

Automate - Every week 3k

Amazon if you noticed the blood bath today.. buy low sell high

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