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But won't last. I still expect probably a flattish year. If inflation happens, grocery stores win. Seems like no reason this shouldn't be at a 15x multiple by year-end. Slow easy grower with AMZN upside. Looking at past price and past situation I just don't understand how it's at half it's precious price when everything is better and trending up. At 5-6x EV/FCFFO they can easily buy back shares, pay debt, keep dividend (4%) which they have been doing the last few years. This seems like a layup but I'm wondering if there is something I am missing.
Whose volume are they going to take from to grow profits? Cost takeout from buying DCs is going well, but need volume to continue growth. It’s a very established industry but you have some great data points. I’ve thought Kroger is also a deal (or it was a couple months ago).
Margins are super low and likely won't grow much. However, their cash flow has been very strong and steady. 180m on an average year's cash flow vs 700m market cap and 500m debt. That seems pretty reasonable to me.