SSRS poll for CNN shows Trump leading Biden in 15 battleground states: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
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We must end the radicalization of our youth.
Joe Biden has received the endorsement of the leader of the Revolutionary Communist Party (RCP).
This endorsement makes a lot of sense seeing his planned taxation and spending policies. New running mate candidate, perhaps?
https://www.cnsnews.com/article/washington/andrew-davenport/revolutionary-communist-party-leader-calls-people-vote-joe
This hits home.
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Rising Star
You’re a senior manager and that’s your interpretation of that data? This gives all of us hope we too can rise to the level of our incompetence!
At best, that survey took <600 people across 15 states and showed the difference. So first, let’s agree that 40 people per state is probably not a representative sample. Secondly, they only gave aggregated results - this is because they couldn’t go state by state based on the small sample but somehow you interpret that as Trump winning each of the 15 states?
Let’s take a look at the average of polls instead of the one you’ve cherry picked and see what the data says.
Really gotta love a guy that sees his candidate down by 5+ points nationally and tries to claim victory!
Chief
Trump fans: "the polls were wrong in 2016, so polls are a joke"
Also Trump fans: "except this one, that shows Trump winning!"
Meanwhile, people that understand how statistics work...
Pro
Keep voting for him MAGA
Pro
What other facts do you need to know to prove to you it was wrong? Black man jogging gets shot by two white men. Caught on video. Only someone looking to justify this would seek some “fact.”
Conversation Starter
I'm bookmarking this so we can revisit the "landslide" in November. #DumpTrump
Conversation Starter
Ok boomer.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/more-americans-are-souring-trump-s-coronavirus-handling-new-polling-n1212796
Rising Star
A1 Sorry to disappoint you, I’ll try to step up my posting.
Pro
It aint over till its over.
Rising Star
OP got owned
Rising Star
I’m more concerned with the quality of the poll and SSRS as a capable org. It was phone surveys (land and mobile) to 1100 ppl. Battleground is a single category, so there’s no proper weighting for distribution and representativeness of the sample. If that weren’t bad enough, the difference is pretty much in the range of statistical error
Conversation Starter
Valid arguments. To add to your point, I also question why this was even a news article that attracted attention in the first place.
And, more broadly, I question why gross negligence with data interpretation seems to be a recurring theme. It's exhausting to have to constantly set the record straight, and I find it distracting to real issues that we face as a country.
Conversation Starter
But wait, there’s more (when you don’t post stale >1wk old articles).
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/499241-where-biden-trump-stand-in-key-swing-states
Chief
Too early to call it. Lots of time to let Biden keep talking (unless the DNC kicks him out), and lots of time to let the smoke clear on the federal response to COVID -and how some of the states responded, like NY and NJ.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/homenews/campaign/499241-where-biden-trump-stand-in-key-swing-states%3famp