{ "media_type": "text", "post_content": "What do you think SPY will be trading at in 5 years?", "post_id": "607da34b2825c800247d16a6", "reply_count": 6, "vote_count": 1, "bowl_id": "5acc42208c6b52001375e11e", "bowl_name": "Option Traders & Investing", "feed_type": "bowl" }

What do you think SPY will be trading at in 5 years?

like
Posting as :
works at
You are currently posting as works at

I think interest rates will be higher and therefore valuation multiples will drop and FAAMG growth will slow. SPY 600.

like

1,000?

Ask wild Qs, get wild answers! Maybe 700-800? I am asking as well here...

like

There is a chance it could be trading much lower.

I think the next five years is the beginning of an age of disruption. Big tech will continue its rally as it keeps growing revenue and margin. New tech will disrupt those who lacked investment in innovation, etc. and the post COVID world will see a boom of government investment and in person production improvements. So 1000+ is optimistic but within the realm of possibility.

Then again, there could finally be the Bitcoin crash, COVID from 3rd world countries spirals out of control and forces change for years and years, tech companies although valued high today takes years to grow into their values, and housing market finally corrects along with who knows what other black swan event(s). So although pessimistic, it could be under 250.

Pick your pill now.

Additional Posts in Option Traders & Investing

48% in one day!! This is mental! Wish I was all in!

Meeting with a recruiter at one of the FAANG companies. I won’t be able to move jobs because of H1b /GC at least for the next year. Any idea if I should start off with that or should I just try to understand the work that they have been doing?

like

Is a Canada goose overkill for DC winters?

like

Tips for just cooking for one person? Thinking of getting an instant pot—is that worth it?

like

How much do you pay for your phone plan?

like

I’ve seen more roles for in-house diligence at MM/LMM PE funds lately. Anyone thought through the pro/cons of a role like that vs. FDD?

like

Any tips on how to build resilience? I’ve always wanted to be one of those people who can shrug it off if someone is rude to them, but when I have a client who is hostile/rude it can affect me for days!

like

I’m frustrated as hell with my manager and my career advancement. What makes it worst is, she is a black woman as well. When I first got with the company I received a pay increase prior to what I was making at my old job. But I have over 6 years of experience in finance, agile (non cert but that’s another story), accounting and team building. This experience was all gained without me having my bachelors in Finance and Accounting (I have it now). The rest in the comments…

like

Hey! I get confused on understanding the order of operations to solving if functions. Anyone have tips and tricks? I have the solution to the right but don’t know how to get there. Thanks!

Post Photo
like

Advice for the new analyst class joining in a couple weeks?

Any media buyers out there seeking order confirmation inventory at retail? I have a few new opportunities coming available in May/June.

like

I posted a couple months ago about how I got rejected over and over after getting to the final round, but I finally got an offer that I’m excited about! To anyone going through a similar thing, keep going!!!

likeuplifting

Who do you feel is leading the charge on brand-side design at the moment? Any notable standouts that you are "wowed" by?

like

Plaintiff client provided counter-offer to settlement with defendant-company. One of the principals is now ill with Covid, and defense counsel said they will need more time to address the counteroffer. They’ve been sitting in this counter offer for 2 weeks. What would be a reasonable amount of time to wait for their counter offer before we decide to file a complaint? Do we wait?

like

Anyone joined Deloitte recently after H1B transfer from another big 4? I got the offer 4 weeks back and still waiting for the immigrations team to file the transfer?

like

How did the Rogers outage in Canada impact you?

like

Anyone here from Cerner Corporation ?
I am looking for a reference.
Thanks

like

For the mama fish - when did you tell HR you were pregnant?

Hello everyone, Fred here once again.
I’m sorry if I offended any of you through my appeals for volunteers for Buzz Chat. I know most of you wanted equity/shares which I know nothing about. If anyone can mentor me on how this works, I’ll be really glad

upliftinglike

Additional Posts (overall)

9/9 Thread (General):

like

For options on S&P, do you prefer trading SPX Index or SPY ETF and why?

like

6/4 Thread (General):

like

What is the deal with the conflicting advice about NIO? I have seen a lot of folks here pumping the brakes, but there’s also some analysts saying this stock price could be somewhere in the triple digits. Definitely speculative, but I personally feel pretty bullish about this stock, just wanted to know why there is so much conflicting information out there. Is it because of the uncertainty about the EV market? China? Are some analysts using TSLA as a benchmark? Would appreciate your thoughts!

like

When can we expect another chamath announcement on IPOD or IPOF? Seems like it’s been some time since Sofi no?

like

ARKG, ARKK, and ARKQ are all down over the last few months. Is the plan to hold these LT and hope it recovers? I am particularly concerned about ARKG which has underperformed compared to the hype!

like

THREAD: Week of 18 Feb. BOL everyone!

Post Photo
like

Is it crazy to jump into reopening/airline stocks now? I feel these are completely overvalued and going to crash one day but why fight the trend. I wonder if this can be like last summer with tech where everything will be considered better than expected for the next few months. 

like

Serious question, how come on some post I’ll see “10 replies” and when I pop it open there are only 3?

like

7/30 Thread (BC):

like

Tech getting spanked

likefunny

How are you all feeling about DAL going into earnings tomorrow? I’m currently long and am wondering if I should bail before the announcement. Honestly, I have no idea what investor expectations are.

like

What is our group’s opinion on JWN ahead of earnings tomorrow? Sold some $17 puts for end of week this week which are in slight losses. What do you guys think?

like

5/26 Thread (General):

like

Who will be adding more MGNI on Monday 🙋‍♂️

like

When you are long options and positive, is there a % you always sell?

I scaled into SPY calls for September on the 18th and they are up about 130%. I always cut at 50% no matter what because I don’t want to be too greedy.

Nothing has spooked me into changing my mind on the trade or I’d be out, so the decision to cut winning positions is always an internal conflict of me just wanting to get it in the boat.

Any advice on how I work on this?

like

Anyone have that earnings document? That outlines earnings coming out this week? Can’t find in the chats

like

End of MGNI?

like

Bit suprised by the aggressive bid this evening. Is the market setting up for a suprise sell. TD Sequential on a daily basis shouts YES. Last time we did this, had a huge down day. Basically, up for 8-9 straight closes, then 4 closes later, if still higher than these early closes, sell. That's the setup. It worked in June. Will it work now? I know I said bullish; but I think at this level, you have to be short just to see whether the bulls can save it at that HWB long at 3132.00.

Post Photo
like

New to Fishbowl?

Download the Fishbowl app to
unlock all discussions on Fishbowl.
Download Fishbowl to see what others are saying
That was just a preview…
Sign Up to see all discussions
  • Discover what it’s like to work at companies from real professionals
  • Get candid advice from people in your field in a safe space
  • Chat and network with other professionals in your field
Sign up in seconds to unlock all discussions on Fishbowl.

Already a user?
Login here

Share

Embed this post

Copy and paste embed code on your site

Preview

Download the Fishbowl app

Sign up for free to view this conversation on Fishbowl

By continuing you agree to Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.

Already have an account? Log in

New to Fishbowl?

image with Fishbowl logo and arms reaching out for a handshake

Already have an account? Log in

By continuing you agree to Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.
Messaging rates may apply

For account settings, visit Fishbowl on Desktop Browser or

General

Legal