You know Trump is in bad shape when you live in Texas and there are Trump 4 President commercials. I can’t recall a time in the last 20 years where a republican presidential candidate, let alone an incumbent had to spend advertising dollars in Texas. I could be wrong, but honestly don’t ever recall seeing them before. This either means one of three things . Either The Trump war chest has so much money they don’t know what to do with it. His campaign guys are clueless on how to win and where

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I’m also in Texas and have noticed this. It’s an expensive market to be buying ads in, too. If the Trump campaign has to worry about Texas might as well pack up and leave.

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Third option: someone involved in selling airtime or developing the ads is getting a cut of the action. Would love to see what the cost to return is for this. There’s such a thing as intentionally bad investments.

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Coming in hot with the agency risk angle. I like it, considering Parscale has been milking the campaign for millions.

To spend. Or they know they are in big trouble and are trying their best to win Texas.

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Texas will probably go Trump, but it’s not a given due to demographical changes, huge destruction in oil demand due to covid (esp in the US b/c of mismanagement), and his propensity to turn off women, college educated, and suburbanites...all growing in number in Texas.

Makes sense to invest a little money there, because a Texas loss essentially slams the door shut for him. You can lie, but money always tells the truth. Outlays in Texas and pulling spend from Michigan implies a campaign on the defensive.

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Exactly my thoughts

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This is interesting to me. Live in IL and see D ads for president all the time in every election cycle that I can remember.

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