So how do we see this Iran conflict ending?

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I’m with FCB. We’re going to pull out before the job is done because of the economy.

The Strait of Hormuz situation is getting worse.

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Trump will declare victory as our military is pulled/forced out of the Middle East in order to get the oil flowing again. He will do so also under guise of our new national security strategy with focus on western hemisphere.

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With a TACO

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Prices will rise further making day by day life harder for low/medium income groups in the US. Trump will feel pressure to pull out of the war bc he’s losing his base. He’ll leave it to Israel to finish the fight. And it will drag on between them until they economically can’t.

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Trump is somehow going to claim victory even though he’s made several preposterous claims like unconditional surrender and regime change in the past week - none of which will happen without boots on the ground. He’s already starting to squirm to find an off-ramp because somehow only he and Hegseth weren’t aware of what Iran’s response would be, even though it’s been clear for decades that Iran would blockade the strait.

Given the economic pain, there’s going to be some flimsy ceasefire deal where Trump will claim his goals are met, Iran will claim success given the regime is intact, and Israel will begrudgingly be forced to accept, because who knows what their goals are exactly but they can’t do anything without the U.S. involved.

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Iran’s government will collapse

10 groups will declare themselves rulers

30 years of civil wars

Millions of refugees will flood western countries

Conservatives will cry about refugees and pretend they didn’t lick trumps boots clean while he invaded Iran.

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