What is a reasonable investment growth % for the next 20 years?
I have 20 years left on mortgage but have come into a windfall.
I modelled 2 scenarios:
1. invest the returns on investing the lump sum (but only the first £20k would be within an ISA of course) then deduct 25% CGT (who knows how high that will be in 20 years)
2. Pay off mortgage (ca £400k) and then invest the foregone mortgage payment (these would mostly be in ISA each year.
Assuming 5% growth these were almost the same after CGT

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I would probably do a split strategy. Depending on how much you have.

Pay down mortgage at 10% per year (typical amount before you incur charges).

Put 20k in ISA per year.

Use wife and kids ISA allowances to prevent taxes.

Put any extra into pension up to £60k per year, get tax relief at 40%+ on that its a good way to boost pot. With 25% coming back tax free and rest likely in lower rate of tax.

Short term could get up to £50k per person into premium bonds as winnings (earnings) are tax free.

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Continued: I get that investing is thought of as better than paying off mortgage. I know the maths. I’ve studied economics and finance etc.

But the world is looking quite uncertain, the rate of taxes on wealth could (and frankly, should) go up, and I’m a family man so the feeling of having the house would be great.

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Contribute to pension annually and make your taxable income close to zero using windfall (or salary sacrifice like 50%+ to reduce your income significantly)

Continue paying mortgage and investing into isa as you currently do

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If it’s a windfall without any tax due, invest it. Way more in compound interest than paying off your mortgage.

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It’s a no brainer: Pay off the mortgage (and any other debt) first, and invest the rest (or buy some gold :-).

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