這兩天科技股跌,很多人又開始喊AI泡沫。

我反而覺得,現在不是AI沒故事了,是市場開始挑人了。

以前大家只看誰會講AI,誰名字裡帶AI,股價就先衝一波。現在不一樣了,資金開始問一句很現實的話:你到底能不能收到錢?

做模型的很燒錢,雲端很燒錢,資料中心也很燒錢。可是誰先賺?賣晶片的、賣記憶體的、賣設備的。

所以我現在看AI線,不會只看熱度,我更想看三種票:

第一種,記憶體。像MU、SNDK這種,前面漲得猛不是沒原因,AI伺服器吃記憶體,價格一上來,利潤就會很直接。

第二種,設備。像ASML、LRCX這類,AI晶片要繼續做,後面產能擴不擴,設備一定繞不開。

第三種,真正能落地的AI軟體。像PLTR這種,市場會一直吵估值貴不貴,但只要它能把訂單和業績做出來,就還會有人盯。

我現在不會因為科技股跌一天就說AI完了,也不會看到反彈就無腦追。

這波最關鍵的不是「AI還火不火」,而是「AI的錢最後流到誰手裡」。

看懂這一點,後面選票就不會亂。

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