I think Trump will be reelected. Do you agree?

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Too soon to tell with confidence, but it’s a very strong likelihood. Coin toss in my mind right now

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There is a big chance. In order to win democrats would have to outvote reps by a massive margin

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Not necessarily. They just need to vote in the right states and districts, which is a much harder feat to accomplish

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Statistically every incumbent president should be more likely to get reelected than not.

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Yea probably- but he does have some self destructive tendencies and there is always a chance he will do something utterly moronic that will blow it for him.

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I’d say he’s more likely to lose. His poll normals are historically bad and he’s never polled above 50%, even with a red hot economy. The democrats are much more passionate in their hatred against trump than their support of Clinton in 16, so turnout is going to be very high. And in 16 trump had the benefit of people voting for him to “see what’ll happen”, but in 2020 there’s going to be no question in anybody’s mind about what kind of president he will be, which will peel off a small but potentially significant portion of his 2016 voters.

Definitely a toss-up election but I’d still say a democrat has a slightly better chance of winning than he does.

Probably the only way Trump loses is if the economy tanks.

You guys should check Twitter for reactions to the Trump Tax Increase:

https://www.dailydot.com/layer8/trump-tax-cut-twitter/

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Yes

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I still think Biden is going to win this. Just not by the landslide we hoped for.

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Just curious, how many of the people who are very active on the Politics bowl women. It may not hurt to hear what they care. I get a sense that dudes from both sides seem to be speaking for you.....

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The shoe on the other foot

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Susan Collins speach on the Senate floor is phenomenal. I listened to it live and a second time today. For 40 minutes, she explains that many of the left's concerns regarding Kavanaugh are unwarranted

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Hi all - just joined the bowl and planning on voting this Nov for first time. Not a Trump fan but not trying be biased as well. Can both sides explain to me the reason why people should keep trump for another year vs a new president? Thanks

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We're much better off with Biden for what's happening in Ukraine.

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The claims: ‘Trump inherited an amazing economy!!’ ‘No Trump unleashed the powers of the free market by lowering taxes!!’

The truth: We leverage our valuations with bad debt fostered by addictive and uncontrolled spending. It leads to companies (and sovereign entities) being fragile and vulnerable to seismic shocks. If housing/labor markets roll over, there’ll be cascading consequences rooted in the debt burden.

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I don’t like any of the Dem candidates, but oddly enough I’d prefer Yang over Warren, Bernie, Kamala, or Biden. Especially considering I think UBI is asinine. Is that weird?

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How will we know America isn’t systematically racist anymore?

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1) I hope they're okay

2) Trump about to call God ANTIFA

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Once, when I was little, I was playing Monopoly with my cousin. I was the banker, and I liberally “quantitatively eased” myself whenever he wasn’t looking.

I got unlucky and lost the game but I threw an absolute FIT, accusing my cousin of cheating because I knew how severely I’d cheated myself. How could he have won if HE didn’t cheat?!

Donald Trump’s righteous, desperate conviction is that of a losing cheater. I only hope he gets the time out he so richly deserves.

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guy who’s afraid to cheer for his son brandon at a soccer game

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I just realized that Biden is making good on his pledge not to raise taxes on people making less than $400k. Surprised more conservatives aren’t celebrating this fact.

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This should go well

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Promises made and promises kept - Trump has build the wall.
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