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I would be a bit surprised if Trump pulls this one off. Qualitatively, Biden is far more likable compared to Clinton and has a much cleaner record.
Quantitatively, Trump won MI, PA, and WI by less then 1% in 2016. In case of MI, it was 0.23%. Biden has no chance of losing the states Hillary won and all he needs is 42 electoral votes. I am not so sure on PA but he should be able to carry WI and MI. If he wins all three then he is good and chances are he will depending upon the demographic shift noticed in last 4 years. Florida votes razor thin and there is a good chance that NC and AZ might flip. If Trump loses Florida then it’s pretty much game over for him
This person knew what they were talking about.
Biden with an extremely close margin!
Pro
Biden will win
Cause he is the uncle Joe and can connect with Middle America rather than a typical left leaning democrat. That is why a better pick over Sanders.
He will not turn hardcore republicans but will definitely turn some right leaning folks on the fence. I am Scranton not from Manhattan line might work in some places.
Also remember Hillary would have won some of the states she lost if there was no 3rd party candidates in the fray. This time there are no third party candidates in the fray . Clinton would have won Pa, Fl, Wi, Mi if Johnson and Jill Stein were not in the fray. Here is the link
https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/president
Lastly many people who did not vote last time will go out and vote against Trump and there are many 18+ first time voters this time who care about social issues more than economy
Rising Star
I think Biden but by razor thin margins. The polls are wrong again, there’s no way he’s up that high.
Trump. I am over confident. Biden will be embarrassed
Rising Star
Trump
Trump will win! Ab ki baar phir se Trump sarkar
Trump will win no doubts about it
Biden winners here!!
Enthusiast
Biden, hands down
I think Trump. COVID could be the reason he wins. Unfortunately 😔
I think Biden will win. 🤞🏼
Trump most likely
Trump but I hope biden
The stock market predicts Trump
Trump!! Unless the dems actually come out and vote for Biden- as was not the case last time. Again most of the trump supporters are not afraid of COVID or don’t bother about social distancing giving them higher probability of coming out to vote.
On the other hand, non-trump supporters are taking caution, wearing masks and social distancing, because of which they might be extra cautious to not stand in the voting lines. Let’s see! Only time will tell!