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Your entire argument is based on current state of a tech that has been evolving at a rapid pace. You are assuming that this is the peak.
Internet was invented in 1983. It became widely available in the mid 90s. The world is radically different now compared to then. It took 3 years from chatgpt becoming widely available to radical investments in GenAI. Thats the equation here.
So I don’t think you are in any position to make these proclamations. Tech has been killing a lot of blue collar jobs. It’s not really far fetched to assume that generative AI can eliminate a lot of white collar jobs who rely on the internet and sourcing information.
No doubt the technological landscape will change. I highly doubt our core understanding of human nature and the purpose and intention of companies will change though..they will simply look different.
Once again this stems from people’s lack of an understanding of what companies truly are. People work in their silos and so not understand how organizations are all interdependent on each other. People do not also understand that organizational structures like these are the backbone of innovation and change. AI is a great tool and we cannot fathom the ways it will be used in the future but it will always remain a tool. It lacks human emotion and context for reality. To me this really is not hard to understand.
Pro
I think you’re arguing a straw man. I haven’t heard a lot of credible folks arguing that the finance function will completely disappear.
The question is now how many warm bodies the finance function will need to do their job. Benchmarks for support FTE need will change rapidly as companies adopt AI to become more efficient and use these efficiency gains to cut overhead costs.
Interestingly you’re making a similar point: you say that if not adopting AI, companies will struggle to compete. This could be based on two things: either their non-AI products will miss changing customer demand, or they will be too expensive. At the moment, most company AI initiatives are focused on the latter not the first.
KPMG.... you missed the sarcasm. And economics doesn't predict if they can make it cheaper, that automatically means they make more. Unless there is a market for more at the same price or the volume would increase to justify lowering the price. So GDP does not automatically rise. Profit margins rise, output per employee rises, but not necessarily GDP. Infact, you could make the case it might drop if demand for the product drops because too many workers loss their job and no longer can afford the product so do without or substitute for a lower cost substitute.
Every technological disruption eliminates jobs. This isn’t the first time it’s happened and it won’t be the last. Will it create new/additional jobs? Sure, but it likely won’t be a one-for-one as that’s never really been the case.
I thought the same as you until about a month ago. Now even at its very early stages of development, I’d say it’s at a point where it does everything an entry level associate does (but better on average) in my area.
It takes great notes, writes up summaries/process/requirements docs to about 80% complete in 60 sec (including 80 page BRDs), creates test cases, and many other admin tasks. It dos this with basically no extra effort on my end and does it when I say it. There’s no “following up” or hand holding that I have to do.
If it’s already at this level now, it’s just going to keep getting better fast. Everyone likes to think they’re special,but realistically these tools will allow companies to cut staff down to much lower levels without losing productivity so unless you’re a top 25% performer your job is going to be at risk. Even those folks will be asked to do more for less as the number of unemployed people willing to replace them grows.
Lmao..first of that is a very simplistic use case for AI which shows me that you most likely are not involved in these discussions. The end delivery model in consulting is people + AI agents that these firms have developed to complete the work faster . I am very confident in this. If anything consulting firms ( not saying the current landscape or firms in power) will help lead the changes we are seeing.
The impact of AI overtime will drastically change two areas. The first is in the products and services sold across industries. This is difficult to explain because once again people don’t understand what companies are and how they work but let’s take a few examples. For a bank, AI is going change the banking experience for end users. For banks that fail to adopt AI into their products and services they will fall behind. Any company that offers some form of a virtual product will begin to adopt AI to alter the products they are building and design a more tailored product to consumers. Once again this mindset can be applied to any industry and I believe it stands. For example, in an academic institution the product/service is the education or educational experience. These institutions will clearly need to begin to adopt AI into this learning experiences moving forward. Same concept but different industry.
The second area is in the running of the companies that build these products/ services. So for example how will AI impact accounting, finance, marketing, data analytics, maintenance etc..teams within the companies building these products and services. I firmly believe that AI will become an essential tool used cross functionally within these departments. It will most likely aid greatly in the intercommunication as well within these departments. People should not be afraid though because these departments exist and will continue to be run by humans because that is purpose of a company. To take a step back, a company is essentially a collective brain or assembly of people working together for a common goal aka to build a product or service and sell in the market place. For example, the purpose of an accounting team is understand the operations of a business and report these operations in form of numbers. The purpose of a finance team is to take the numbers from accounting and project the future state of the business ( this is one role). The marketing team is developing the plan for how to sell the product or services in the market place. I could go on but all of these departments are working together independently and essentially rely upon each other for core services of a company. The humans in the loop of this process are essential or the entire structure would collapse. So for example, if our white collar workforce was replaced by AI then what would be the purpose of an accounting team or a finance team? Before you respond by saying that the purpose would be to report to upper management my next question would be how would upper management trust the information produced by AI or even seek to understand it. Upper management is concerned with high level problems. Essentially what I am trying to say is that white collar work is not gone it is changing. It is changing the same way it changed when the computer was invented or when the internet was invented.
Interested to hear peoples thoughts.
Pro
It doesn’t make sense to you because you’re trying to see it that way. AI has already impacted a lot of jobs. Major companies announced lay offs last year because of AI. If you ask AI, how many jobs were impacted by AI so far, even AI will tell you this
Specific Company Reductions:
Salesforce: CEO Marc Benioff confirmed 4,000 customer support workers were cut, with AI doing up to 50% of the work.
Amazon: Cut 14,000 corporate roles in October 2025 to reorganize more leanly, specifically citing AI, with warnings that AI will shrink the workforce.
IBM: CEO Arvind Krishna noted AI chatbots replaced hundreds of human resources jobs.
The problem isn’t complete takeover. The problem is having chronic unemployment over 12%. Society starts unraveling around this point, and the capitalistic market that we know today will change dramatically. Projections are for 30% unemployment, which indicates severe levels of poverty, class shifts, and bank failures (Great Depression was 25%)
The countries with social policies will quickly recover; those that don’t have social policies in place are going to see accelerated wealth gap growth.
The purpose of a company is to make its owners as much revenue as possible at as little cost as possible. Human workers are not intrinsic to that definition. If AI agents reach a level of reliability where they can accomplish a function without significant potential liability, they will always be the lowest cost option since the cost of keeping a human alive will always be more than that of keeping a swarm of agents online at scale.
Considering the exponential increase in LLM capabilities, this is why the mass displacement of white collar workers looks less and less theoretical.
Ah, I see you're being pedantic. I was obviously referring to corporations, who employ >80% of the US population that have a job. It really does not matter what governments or non-profit NGOs do with AI--they cannot make up the difference on their own.
Rising Star
Preface: I am one of the leaders for my firm’s AI practice.
AI is a tech evolution much like how any recent advancement happened. Will some jobs be replaced, yes. However, people are smart enough to learn to pivot. IE see how quickly code monkey boot camps and entry level SWE bachelors degrees emptied out.
I’ve seen this doom and gloom from everything like email implementation to mobile phones to cloud. People are smart enough to pivot and find the next hustle. Or double down and fortress in your niche (cobalt and Fortran experts still have jobs today!)
What skill do you think can be a reliable fortress long term in the age of AI? This line of argument misses the fundamental (and increasingly realized) promise of AI being capable of operating autonomously. Every prior piece of tech you cited still required a human hand to push its buttons, but that will increasingly not be the case as agentic capabilities mature.
AI is a multiplier for a capable person.
Be a capable person.