What percentage salary bump should a “great” first year associate expect?

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This depends entirely on your firm. Biglaw would typically be lockstep. Small law would be negotiated for, so prepare to demonstrate your value.
When I was hired at my small firm, it was in the context of an opportunity to prove myself. After my first year, I got a 40% bump.

Someone else can speak to that firm size, but go in to your performance review with metrics showing value you have contributed. If you can calculate your collected billings, that would be good.
Recognize that they won't give you a raise if you don't ask for one.

Assuming you didn't bring in any work yourself, compare your salary to 1/3 of your billings. If there's a big difference, that could be the basis for your ask.

I think the answer to this question in this year and normal years are very different. In my big law firm, the vast majority of associates did not get a raise this year, when in most years they get a pretty sizeable raise each year.

How much money did you make the firm

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