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Please read the book “Running with the Bulls” by Nick Rowley. An excellent book on how to evaluate injury cases.
Verdict and settlement searches.
No way around it. Experience. Ask more experienced lawyers frequently, but always keep in mind that at the end of the day, you know your case best.
Some injuries can be easily predictable and almost formulaic. But my experience has been that formulas are just very generic recommendations and need to always be tuned on a per case basis.
I find other PI lawyers tend to overvalue slightly, whereas defense lawyers tend to undervalue. Pre-litigation lawyers also tend to have less reliable estimates than litigation lawyers
Jury Verdict Research will give you ball parks, but those are incomplete accounts and should be taken with a grain of salt (after all, no lawyers will publicly disclose hidden information pertinent to the case).
One of the most reliable tools I've found is to just poll random people. I ask friends and family what they'd offer and give very neutral factual summaries without giving any clue that could identify my client. After all, a jury pool will be random people.
What state are you in?
Pro
Can you point me in the right direction to find that NY blog post?