When all the dust settles on the transition public accounting is going through (off shoring, technology transformation, CPA shortage, etc), where do you think we'll land? What will our industry and careers look like? How will they look differently than the past 20 years?

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The problem I see is that we generally run on an apprenticeship model and we get an amount of associates and expect certain attrition rates. With all of these things you mentioned, we will need less associates. So we will need to add incentives for these people as the best associates will be highly prized for helping a firm maintain some semblance of the current model.

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The only incentive needed is cash, which you’d think the firms would have more of

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Fewer people, more AI and automation, and in addition to standardized structure for reporting, there will likely be interoperable data standards so that government and third parties can use standardized tools to audit corporate books.

There are going to be far fewer hours that are billed in the typical annual structure. I suspect we see audits more of a fixed fee model.

The biggest challenge is likely to be to the financial model because it will be much more challenging to maintain the current pension obligations that are going to retired partners.

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I have never seen an engagement fee structured that way in big 4 or the regional firm I am at now. I’ve seen billing based on time incurred but that doesn’t impact the overall fee.

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IMO audit and tax compliance work will be gone within the next 5-10 years. Accounting will be more advisory focused with far fewer individuals

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Real people will be necessary when working on smaller clients.

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