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B. I think certain companies will be able to leverage drones to make deliveries cheaper, but I can't see it being viable across the board at any point. Way too many difficulties and large items that simply can't/shouldn't be delivered via drone.

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The power lines in front of my house say, “not for awhile”

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Why could the drone not just fly around them?

When we get to hydrogen based Class-2’s yes. Right now chemical batteries have limited payloads and only about a 45-60 minute peak flight duration.

Chemical batteries have inherently payload and flight limiting characteristics. Bell Helicopter has experimental hydrogen fueled UAS capable of 8 hours in flight, but we lack the hydrogen infrastructure to deploy more of them.

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We won’t be waiting for hydrogen based drones before you see VTOL use cases. They are happening right now with current battery technology. Wing and others are doing BVLOS with 1 operator to multiple aircraft. Some e-commerce and logistics company will leverage the tech and offer it for those that want even faster and more convenient delivery. But not all and not in every city.

This isn't feasible, simply because people are criminal by nature. What's to stop someone from shooting down a delivery drone, or intercepting the pizza as it descends down the street? Will there be a remote drone pilot to make sure the craft doesn't plow into a pedestrian or crash through the pane glass window? If so, how does that save money? You're still paying a delivery driver, he's just sitting in front of a screen rather than in a car or scooter.

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Get real. The barrier to criminal behavior is higher when it involves assaulting, or even just being witnessed by, another person. A drone is easy pickings, with close to zero potential consequences for messing with it.

you forgot:

D) Package theft will skyrocket and people will shoot them down for sport

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I think long term human delivery drivers will be obsolete with self driving cars, drones, robots, etc. Short term I think it'll be B for quite awhile.

Companies that do robo taxis have had to hire more than one remote technician for each driver replaced

It’s option C for uncertain amount of time. There are so many places where gps guided drones are not allowed to fly. And even if they do, there are other restrictions by FAA which drones does not comply at all. So, no reason to worry for our deliver brothers. They can drift while they deliver the packages. 🥹 This job is not going anywhere in sooner future.

C

I mean, honestly I think it'd be a fascinating thing to work on. I think it will be really hard to make them driverless,/remote controlless harder than it has been to make driverless vehicles. Just navigating the additional obstacles posed in the air seems like a borderline impossible problem.

C

D. Toto by Africa

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