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Depends, are you one of those ppl who needs the govt to help you save money? Or do you prefer to receive max income and direct your own money?
Thought the new W-4 doesn’t allow you to adjust dependents anymore. There’s no longer 1,2, etc...on the form
Ask yourself if that $3500 could have helped you achieve a goal during the year. If it was going to sit in a 1.5% APY savings account, decide if $50 in interest is worth changing.
I lowered my exemptions (old form) and then had an extra $150 per paycheck deducted for Fed. It was the only way I could get it the way I wanted it which is owe about $100
With another dependent, and another $2k credit, I would estimate your taxes and adjust your withholdings to ~$500-$1000 either owed to you or due to combined Fed /State . You will likely need the extra cash flow with wife off work and day care