Case Study question: Who has the higher probability of getting Coronavirus? My friend who takes NYC subway everyday for work or me who flies Mon-Thu from NY to CLT every week?

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If I solve it, can I go work at EY?

likefunny

You both do. Except you’re going to go cause a cluster in Charlotte. Stay at home!!!!!

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Flying - more exposure to diverse contacts of varying geographies..

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Subways and airplanes are ground zero for new pathogens to circulate. 🤢 😷

Obviously the probabilities are equal. Whoever gets it first during the weekdays passes it on to the other during the weekends. If you’re not meeting up because of this crisis, then you’re not really friends anyway so you wouldn’t care about what happens to the other.

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Alright, who has the higher probability of getting it first?

I would say subway. Once you're on a plane people are pretty much static and facing in one direction, whereas on subways you're in a dynamic crowd with multiple people facing towards you. Plus airlines at least pretend to filter air whereas the subway's version of air filtration is a fresh blast of NYC dank damp at every station

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Ready for this ? It depends!

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Cool

Subway. He is traveling and spreading in the petri disk called NYC.

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Pretty sure subway cars are not using HEPA filters and also have more people per hour touching surfaces

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Depends. If your friend licks the poles on the MTA, they might end up dead or with 100% immunity.

likesmart

Subway

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Eat fresh

likefunny

Subway esp if you’re passing through Times Square, Penn Station and Grand Central.

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Both have a 50% chance of getting it. You either get it, or you don't.

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Definitely subway? You’re on the plane only twice and planes have great air ventilation

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Depends on the model. Most are a combo of air recirculated through hepa filters and fresh air being drawn from outside

Probably subway guy

I take the subway daily.

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