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Algorithms based on status and projected demand. Tuesday at noon and you are in first class as a golden, Monday morning you are #19 as a platinum.
Them algorithms be smart
It depends on how many first class seats they've already sold and how many people with similar status are on the same flight. Lots of open seats + a couple diamond/platinum people = auto-upgrade. Very few open seats + lots of people with status = assigned at the gate.
Fare class you book. You're probably getting Y of A fares
Also their algorithms look at stuff like how often people buy walk up first class tix, or how often paid first from earlier/later flights want to same day change, etc etc...basically if there's any way the seat can generate revenue, or make a better experience for a revenue first class passenger = wait until gate to do any upgrades