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Coach
I do think there's an actual shortage going on that won't resolve anytime soon. If you can get something now, I would do it. You can always sell or rent it down the road.
Coach
Rates may indeed go down, but the days of 2.5% mortgage rates are long gone and not coming back.
I don’t think the market can crash like 2008 as some are predicting (wishing), it’s just too different. There’s way too many people that can just ride things out and make payments. That wasn’t the case in 2008 because people who had loans should have never been approved for them.
Rates wise, I don’t think we’ll get below 4% again in next 5 years, though seems reasonable we could could get to 5% territory. I do think rates will not move much (+\- 1%) for the next 1.5-2 years.
Anything beyond 5 years is a complete crap shoot, world too crazy and things move too fast. And unpredictable. If you would have told someone in 2015 that in 5 years Trump would be president and that we’d be on global lockdown wearing masks everywhere with 0% fed rates, you’d be called a loony.
Coach
It'll hit 4% sometime in the next 10-20 years. We probably won't see lower than that in our lifetime (but who knows. No one would have predicted COVID)
Subject Expert
Rates will be lower at some point in the future. Buy low now and refinance when rates come down is a tactic that will work. Whether you can afford the holding costs in the meantime, and how far down the line the refinance window is the unknown.
Accumulate cash and Make huge down payments. Real estate anyways is down trending so jo advantage buying for next 3-4 years.
I think rates will remain at 7-9 range for the next 10 years. Transactions will slow for a little while until the mindset of buyers sees rates as being sticky. Politicians will try to help by offering down payment assistance which will only force prices up. A supply issue exists in the housing market and boosting demand will raise the equilibrium and favor the property owners.
Subject Expert
Except high fed rates will also severely halt construction since they need financing to be incentivized to build.
Community Builder
I think we could see 5s again in next year or two…maybe 4%. The problem is if you wait prices will continue to climb especially as rates go down.
Coach
Two things can happen, rates can go up or they can go down. If they go up, aren't you glad you locked in today's rate? If they go down, aren't you glad you can refinance?
Coach
Donno but at least you'd have somewhere to live. If the market crashes, no one is buying but they still need somewhere to live so they can rent from you.