Considering new career path in the DC area—which employers seem safest/riskiest for a small recession and Republican-elected congress in the next few years?:
- Public sector (government/contractor)
- Financial services (Fannie/Freddie, Capital One, etc.)
- Hospitality (Marriott, etc.)
- Amazon (seem to still be hiring a lot!)

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Public sector and Amazon should both be very low risk, although with Amazon they are known for pretty aggressive performance based firing (at least in certain functions) as well as voluntary turnover due to culture. Also biased here, but Capital One will likely be fine too

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Marriott laid off a ton of people at the beginning of the pandemic, wouldn’t count on job safety in the hospitality industry

I left hospitality specifically because of job security. When the economy is going strong it’s great. But when a recession starts it’s usually the first to get hit and takes longer to recover

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Ignoring the recession part, Fannie and Freddie will likely do better from an employee standpoint under Republican governance than under Democrat governance.

Including a recession risk, public sector, Cap One, and AWS would be the best short term bets while public sector and Cap One would be the best longer term bets.

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