I’m new to federal service and trying to understand how promotions work. Is it better to stay in your current role and work toward a step increase, or should I be looking for higher grade positions right away? What’s the usual career path?

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Step increases are largely automatic, but it will take you 18 years to go from step 1 to step 10, barring any quality step increases.

Unless you're in a career ladder, the only way to get promoted is to apply for the next level position (e.g. going from GS-13 to GS-14). If you apply to positions that are open to the public and have qualifying non-fed experience, you can use that to jump grades (e.g. GS-13 to GS-15).

Given how horrifically slow and dysfunctional the federal hiring process is, start applying for the next level up as soon as you meet time-in-grade, as the timeline to actually get the next position is anywhere from 1-10+ years.

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Also you must do 52 weeks at a grade level in order to promote to the next grade level.

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