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Im so happy! I just paid off all my debts!
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How do I get on a deal team?
JPMorgan Chase recently introduced a policy change to increase the notice period to 60 days. I'm a 602 and resigned recently and yet my LWD is showing up as 30 days from now. Anyone recently resigned can confirm if they are facing the same or new policy is in effect. This is causing confusion with the next companies I'm interviewing with.
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Any Property Management recs in Seattle area? :(
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An extra $800 a month is $9,600 per year = another year of not buying a house….
Powell literally just gave a speech saying the fed is open to raising rates again.
Make your bets, I’ll make mine
Yes
Thats too low for this year
Nah
Overall, wage growth (at least what they are looking at) and discretionary spending is still too strong for them to say ok we’re done and now let’s lower rates. The effects of the rate hikes still haven’t worked their way far enough through the macro economy for them to reverse course and start lowering rates. There’s a large lag between a hike and it flushing through the market - and we’ve had what, 11 since 3/22? They’re absolutely willing to have a “hard landing” to stop inflation despite all of their talk about a “soft” one, but if they said that openly it’d almost be a self fulfilling prophecy. I hope I’m wrong, but if their “forced” to lower rates by any meaningful amount in 2023 we haven’t landed hard.. we’ve crash landed off the runway.
By the end of 2023? I'd say the probability is as close to 0% as it could be. In the next 12-18 months (in the midst of an election cycle), perhaps.
Mentor
I personally think rate won’t go lower than 6% until 2025. If they do great, if not oh well, same old same old.
I don’t believe so. I work at a community bank and it’s almost comical how so many bank CFOs keep talking like rates will start to decrease “because history shows us”, even though the economy continues to be resilient to the rate increases. Like seriously…..if economy is strong then rates aren’t going down. I wouldn’t count on many decreases before 2025, and if there are it’s because some other major element popped up forcing feds to tank rates.