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Someone would have to translate the presidents vision and ability to execute into how it affects supply demand. It would be complicated and still might be wrong. My own opinion is that Democrats would be more of the last 2 years, stretched 4 more years, but with higher unemployment, high rates for longer. It would feel like a stagnant economy. Tax cuts will expire in 2025, putting further strain on budgets. They also proposed dramatically higher capital gains tax. In California I read as high as 63% taxes state/federal. Democrats currently have an I want to lose the election strategy. Republicans are energy hungry, so they’ll flood the market with cheap gas to bring inflation down. Lower inflation we get to a rate cute sooner sparking demand and investment. Tax cuts continue. Capital gains remain low. If they deliver on removing illegal immigrants it could lower demand on housing, helping out some of our young people afford to live. Normally I’d favor Democrats on the economy, but not in this case. The lack of vision, higher taxes, and policy will stagnate the economy. I’m not trying to make it political, just giving an opinion.
Thanks for your perspective
Elections generally don’t create immediate fluctuations in the rate forecast, but the Fed has agreed on a 75 basis point reduction; it’s unclear when this will happen.