If I’m quoted 5.5 rate is it unwise to buy down to 5%? I plan on holding the home even if i move into a rental eventually. I guess I’m asking if you all think any chance rates go down because of a recessionary period…any folks have anecdotes of past recession and rates? It’s a good area and the home I’m looking at is 4/2.5 2000 sqft in an area w good schools so I’m less afraid of value drops in short term (listed 270k in tx)

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Posting as :
works at
You are currently posting as works at

Two trains of thoughts

SFH Opp costs:
- what would rent be vs your PITI + maintenance?
- what is your expected appreciation of the home over your hold period? Assume that it will be 3.75% over a 30 year hold with a standard deviation of 8% yoy
- what is your assumed growth rate of the down payment if you don’t use it as a down payment? Are you going to just hold it in cash if you don’t use it to buy?

As an Investment: RUN A SFR PRO FORMA!
- what could rents yield in the area?
- how much are you putting down? We are in a period of the cycle that results in NEGATIVE LEVERAGE (the less you out down the worse your investment stats are)
- factor in management costs
- factor in increase in taxes due to year of sale uncap and change taxation rate to nonresidency

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are you talking cash out refi? They should be able to refi just fine if the market stays flat.

When a recession hits, the rates will drop in order to rev the velocity of money. The economy is super robust right now which is why the rates keep getting raised

funny

This is false

Just do a break even calculation to figure out if dropping the rate is worth how much you’re buying upfront in points, based on how long you plan to keep the property.

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