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Two trains of thoughts
SFH Opp costs:
- what would rent be vs your PITI + maintenance?
- what is your expected appreciation of the home over your hold period? Assume that it will be 3.75% over a 30 year hold with a standard deviation of 8% yoy
- what is your assumed growth rate of the down payment if you don’t use it as a down payment? Are you going to just hold it in cash if you don’t use it to buy?
As an Investment: RUN A SFR PRO FORMA!
- what could rents yield in the area?
- how much are you putting down? We are in a period of the cycle that results in NEGATIVE LEVERAGE (the less you out down the worse your investment stats are)
- factor in management costs
- factor in increase in taxes due to year of sale uncap and change taxation rate to nonresidency
are you talking cash out refi? They should be able to refi just fine if the market stays flat.
Subject Expert
When a recession hits, the rates will drop in order to rev the velocity of money. The economy is super robust right now which is why the rates keep getting raised
This is false
Just do a break even calculation to figure out if dropping the rate is worth how much you’re buying upfront in points, based on how long you plan to keep the property.