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What are the best cities to live in for FIRE?
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4% withdrawal rate on $2M is $80k a year. I don’t see how you could make that work with a family.
Subject Expert
ERN withdrawal rate series:
https://www.google.com/amp/s/earlyretirementnow.com/safe-withdrawal-rate-series/%3famp
Cederberg et al:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4227132
Subject Expert
You don't need to worry about healthcare wrecking you. You just need to make a principles estimate of your healthcare costs in the event of a serious problem (the insurance policy you would carry plus its annual out of pocket limit every year, plus some estimate of nonmedical health costs) and ensure that your portfolio can support that much withdrawal.
And make sure your expense estimate is comprehensive. Does it include taxes? Infrequent expenses? Home maintenance? Children's college?
And that your withdrawal rate is safe. 4%, for example, is not safe for early retirement.
And that your portfolio is suitably diverse.
Once you have done all this you may find you need $5 million. But you might not. :)
In today’s money? Probably need $15k post tax a month. At a safe withdrawal rate of 4% pretax that’s about $6.5M needed in investable wealth.
Some considerations - Health insurance to retire early at a level similar to company coverage is about $2-4K a month. Are you going to want to help your kids with college? Do the math for yourself. Yes you could retire early, but will you have the kind of lifestyle you want?
Yes I was honestly shocked because corporate insurance is so much less expensive (company + employee premium) and for much better coverage. It’s crazy !!
2M isn’t crazy for early or coast FIRE in a medium-cost city like Houston, especially if you live simply, have paid-off housing, and keep healthcare costs in check.At a 4% withdrawal rate, $2M gives you about $80K/year — which is a solid, middle-class income there. If your mortgage is gone, kids are in public school, and you’re not living extravagantly, that can absolutely work.But you’re also right one big medical emergency or prolonged inflation could strain that plan. That’s why a lot of people target more like $2.5–3M for comfort with a family, or they “coast FIRE” (slow down working but keep some income coming in).The $5-10M numbers you see online are often from high earners in expensive areas or people chasing full luxury-level financial freedom. You don’t need that to live well and securely.So no you’re not “waiting for disaster” at $2M. You just need a thoughtful setup: paid-off house, good insurance, and flexible spending. That can absolutely let you retire early and still raise a family well. Kindly follow me back please
Mentor
Ah, right. I'll let myself know that the $2m I retired on, almost 6 years ago, wasn't enough.