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You definitely have a chance but would temper expectations a bit based on other comments so far in this thread. I know multiple BA direct to EMs with fantastic senior partner recs (and UG from HYP) that didn’t get into H/S. Those two schools are a crapshoot and there are too many strong McKinsey BAs applying these days to say anyone’s a shoe in anymore
Yours are about as good as they’ll get, short of founding your own unicorn or having a building with your last name on campus.
Super high chance. GMAT could be better but given your GPA and major (plus MBB) it won’t be held against you.
Hard to tell, my friend (female, URM) has the same stats as yours except her GMAT was 750, and were one of the top performers in our class at BCG. Still got rejected by HBS with not even an interview invite.
The true answer is that it all depends on your race and gender. Check the rejections post from a few months earlier.