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As long as you can make the economics of the deal work with a property manager and it cash flows well, I don’t think your Midwest purchase idea is terrible.
Its hard to decide because of constantly changing market and interest rate. Nervous to make a wrong decision
Homes in lcol are the first to lose value
If there is an economic crisis, the HCOL house will still be worth something. The lcol house will get abandoned
Personally, if I had any qualms about it, I would not pull the trigger on a 1.5 M spend until I was absolutely certain I was going to stay there. 
We are not sure if we settle down here. That’s why thinking while making that decision probably make an investment elsewhere