Probability of delta upgrading my international flight...platinum medallion

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0%. They don't upgrade over water flights, regardless of status.

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Not zero. If coach is oversold but there's room in business, they will upgrade someone to get everyone on. Not a high probability, but not zero. I have received such an "operational upgrade" before.

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^What OW said.

Op Up chances outside of holidays is .01%

McKinsey doesn't pay for business class when you fly international?

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