How predictable is IVF vs conceiving naturally? Would we theoretically have more control in a sense of getting pregnant exactly when we want to (give or take a few months) by having frozen egg/embryo ready to go in advance? Trying to plan around a very strict residency timeline is tough

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Theoretically yes. Each month of trying naturally gives you ~15-20% chance of success assuming no fertility issues. With IVF, if you have a good quality genetically normal embryo, chance of success are closer to 70%. But as MC1 said, no guarantees. I’ve had 4 of those embryos fail.

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Pregnancy is hard to plan in general. As clearly some of us have been facing unexplained infertility for years and all the planning in the world couldn't have helped. But if you know you dont have fertility issues, it is possible to time pregnancy via ivf. Just have to remember that ivf isn't foolproof either and could fail. Alternatively, I have friends who had planned to get pregnant and have gotten pregnant naturally within 2 months of their planned time line. So that's always possible too.

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