Everyone is focused in the wrong statistic- number of cases. This tells us nothing about how well a country is faring—number of ppl tested, size of country & recovery rate are much more insightful.

likesmart
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It’s shocking. I joined this industry thinking folks had a bit more critical thinking...

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It's literally the same in the consulting bowl OP...

THANK YOU!!!!!🙌🏼🙌🏼🙌🏼

I am shocked at people these days. I’m like I’m sorry aren’t you a finance major? Don’t you know you can’t compare just whole numbers? I called out a friend who’s a financial analyst and go “okay which company is better? Company A with $500M in net income or Company B with $100M net income?” And they responded with “Well I need to see more information and their ratios” and I go “no shit so stop just caring about total number of cases”

What I’ve learned through this is that a lot of people are really not that smart or capable of basic analysis.

Sorry, rant over.

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@M1 Totally agree that the numbers need to be contextualized, I just disagree that #cases per XM is terribly useful at this stage — I’m using population density to gauge potential to spread, not as a comparative metric. Hospitalization rate I agree with, though I don’t have a lot of confidence in the way we’re measuring total cases so the actual % may be too far off to be useful. Total hospitalizations and rate of growth in hospitalized cases is probably a better metric to track if you’re worried about overloading the healthcare system.

I mean the trajectory of US cases should be alarming. I understand per capita still less than some other countries, but I think you're kidding yourself if you think the US isn't going to pass that in a few weeks. The response of the federal government and some states has been embarrassing and will lead to overwhelmed healthcare systems.

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I am very in favor of serological testing. I hope it’s something that is done in the future and I think it should be done so we can actually see the severity of CV.

I keep hearing how the US is on track to have the most cases world wide. We one of the largest countries. Not surprising. It's the death rate and penetration rate that matters.

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We already have the most cases lol

likesmart

I think the most important statistic around how effective we are controlling the spread compared to other nations is the number of cases per million. We have a higher number of cases per million than China, but lower than other countries.

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A stat I like is rate of tests that return positive. Currently at 14% in the US. Reminds me that not every cough, etc is COVID, but could be a normal cold, allergies, or flu too. Keeps me a little more sane 😅

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My vote goes to the combination of the 1) growth rate (doubles every XYX days) overlaid with 2) the ICU beds capacity and 3) tests per million

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My sister made a fb post and I reminded her of this fact and all her friends attacked me about how this is a big deal and how their kids are coughing and having trouble breathing (being dramatic) and I’m like so there’s 0% chance of allergies? Every little bug is now corona? Ok.

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Confirmed cases are a lagging indicator of between a few days to up to two weeks.

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Why look at the amount of cost and number of clicks when you can observe the CPC and CTR

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Thank you.

I read that the most important statistic is case growth rate. Makes sense to me. But not sure we have good data yet.

Most media outlets are focused on what their friends at the DNC tell them to say.

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