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Depends how long you have been at EY and how long you were a manager. If you lateral in as a Snr manager, expect it to take a while to build your network. If you early promoted to Snr manager, add a year or two. But most people will not have the business case for at at least 4 years, put in your paperwork and get promoted at around your 5 year mark. My guess is most promotions happen in the 5-8 year window.
What do you mean first look
After you've been a senior manager for 6 years, they'll start to consider you for promotion? All other ranks have a timeline, but I can't find one for when you go up for promotion to PPED.
A Sr manager told me that they tell you up or out in 6-8 years when you make at manager. I have seen many exceptions but it seems like if they don't see PPED in you, you are out.
False. Pipeline formation starts at year 3. EY3 is spot on.