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Enthusiast
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Conversation Starter
Chief
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Lol I'm guessing you're like 25? No the economy is not doomed because stocks are a little red. It's a great time to keep buying on sale.
It's not normal to be going up as much as we have these last 5 years, but regardless the market will bounce back.
No idea what you mean by stand out. The market probably down a little from where it was a year ago and certainly higher than it was 2 years ago
Embrace the red - buy up as much as you can right now. Stocks are on sale
Unless you are retiring soon, dw about it. In 5 years from now, your money will have grown. Even if you are completely red currently.
Enthusiast
Yes. Likely this is the end of civilization
You are doomed
If your portfolio is down from where it was 1-2 years ago then your portfolio is not properly diversified.
Pro
Look at the history of the stock market. Some years it’s up, some years it’s down. But over long periods of time (10 years) it’s always up. Don’t worry about it and keep contributing.
Your initial investment may have taken 10 years to get back to even but you made a lot on the shares you bought during those 10 years. Also don’t pick stocks and invest in the market if you want to avoid the risk of a single company.
This might not be a buying the dip opportunity yet but the market pointing to a collapse. Fundamentally there’s no positive catalyst so far, technically market is making higher lows to lower highs. The macro economics right now is very different from previous 13 years. Bond market is closer to a collapse than the stock market and that’s much more concerning, our debt is above 30T right now. FED won’t bail the market again, until at least inflation gets controlled, that means for the next 2 years, it also means that if market crashes right now, zombie companies will go bankrupt and market might be stuck for may be a decade until it gets to growth again. So if you are investing right now make sure you account that it might take a few years to get significant returns and that if the market sinks under 375 at SPX, and 30k dow, have an exit plan, or be ready to ride it out. Let’s see what JP will bring us this week. Good luck.
Probability of recession (stagflation) is high. But just like every other crash or dip in the past, it will come back.
2009 looked like a horror show. 2012 through 2019 looked pretty good. Same with every other recession or depression.
If you are concerned, which is valid, make sure you don't have too much debt and have enough emergency savings.
I don't know why everyone is complaining. Is it because last 10 years all you had to do is pick a ticker and it made money and now you have to think for a minute to make money? There are so many deals to be had. Look where you are in the economic cycle and buy accordingly. Otherwise keeping DCAing into your index fund and close your eyes for the next 3 years. You are welcome.
Buy energy or commodities and chill. Look at CNQ and OXY...they are printing money. Want more risk and reward, look at MEG, VET, other Canadian oil names.
We have been on a strong bull run over the past decade and these couple years have been fluctuating due to major events. I would easily imagine a return to the levels we had last year, could take a year or two to get back there and then will exceed it.
Keep calm and hold on
A recession indicates 20-30% down from its highs. Just because the market doesn’t continue to climb does not mean the “economy” is doomed. It means that we could be entering a recession just like any other time we’ve seen over the past 40 years
Unrealized Gains/losses
It’s a veritable farmers market out there!
Like $8 for 2 pounds of fresh caught shrimp kind of opportunity is out there.
Just gotta seize it