Primary home: which mortgage offer to go with 6.75% 30 yrs fixed, no points. 15K closing cost or 5.5% 30 yrs 15/15 ARM, no points. 18K closing costs. Please share thoughts. Thanks !

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Thanks all for your inputs. Given the timelines I’m going forward with ArM option. Would have explored the IO as well had I known about it earlier. I can vouch for myself very disciplined with investing (started at 17 with blue chip SIP and I’m 42 now). Never late/missed a payment and always stayed the course with SIPs.

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Probably latter. What’s amount of the loan?

Yeah so take the variable. Rates won’t be this high forever. You’re saving about 8k a year. Should quickly offset any future refinancing costs and the extra 3k in closing costs.

helpful

I’d do the 15 year arm.

The average mortgage lasts around 8 years. Then it’s either sold or refinanced.

I think interest rates are very likely to dip below 5.5% in the next 15 years. If / when that happens, you’ll be happy you paid a lower rate for longer and still had the flexibility to refinance.

What’s the difference in payment? How much would it cost to buy the ARM down even lower?

If there’s a ~$500 difference, then the lower closing costs for higher payment only makes sense for 6 or so months.

Pay more in closing, taking the lower payment. If you have the money, throwing $250 per month at the principal will help you with the loan-to-value ratio when you do refinance. I’d also throw $250 into a brokerage account and buy VTI on a monthly basis. Consider that your REFI fund, so that once rates do dip lower than 5.5%, you aren’t sweating closing costs.

Honestly, I’d expect you can refinance in 3 to 5 years to a rate around 5%. Then you’ll be set for awhile. If it takes 7 to 10 years to hit that low of a rate, then you might even be able to jump to a 15 yr mortgage at that point

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People who know more than me in this thread - aren’t rate actually not close to around averages right now? isn’t average like 5.5 and anyone looking for that 3% or 4% kind of wishful thinking to be honest?

I still think you should pick the second one but people who have been in the market since before 2020. How do you see this going in the 10 year term?

Well he’s got 15 years for the rate to dip below 5.5%. With some assumed appreciation and principal paydown, he should have no problem finding a rate below that before an adjustment. Plus many people move before 15 years, at which point it won’t matter.

Why don’t you consider an interest only loan? - rate is fixed for 5/7/10 years and your cash flow is so much better than an amortized loan, esp. if you are looking to refi in the next few years.

Several national brands offer these, Chase, BofA, etc. and if you engaged a mortgage broker, they could help find the best option for you.

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Hello, I’m a mortgage loan officer with US bank. Please reach out if you need a competitive mortgage quote or pre approval.

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