Its so stressful when you are sitting on 50% cash in your portfolio waiting for the market downturn but then see the indexes jumping big gains week after week. I guess I know how Buffet must be...

likefunny
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Don’t be. The longer the trend, the more time it takes for it to reverse. Unemployment, small businesses going out of business, large corps filing for bankruptcy, developing countries beginning to get hit by Rona, no tourism, multiple developed countries already in recession (Japan, Germany, etc)-> global recession is inevitable. This is the ultimate bull trap.

likesmartfunny

...and a string of central banks and governments who refuse to let losses materialise despite the long term cost.

Agreed the market is irrational atm, and if it goes, it goes big. So big that there is no guarantee you would even be able to deploy your cash.

likefunny

I still don’t know why everyone thinks they can time the market. But it’s a long way before we are out of this mess so possibly you could be right

like

Agree with the market timing

like

This is not what warren Buffett does

likesmart

Gotcha, makes sense. Thanks!

I'm holding on to some cash, but it's minimal risk if stocks do go up and I get back in too late. You can't time the market. Everyone is saying oh this will happen, that won't happen. But at the end of the day, hindsight is 20/20. The news will craft a story for whatever the outcome ends up being (shock at a trend that has never happened before, confirmation of what many economist predicted, explanation why it was mostly a trend we expected, but with a twist).

So in the end, it's always a risk.

like

Do not time the market. Basic rule of investment.

like

Footnote of the Basic Rule: if you’re sitting on a pile of cash waiting for the right time to invest, you just missed the right time.

Well, I don’t think Warren times the market 😅 I agree on the weird times, but also not sure if major stocks will go down significantly... tech stocks make up a big part of S&P and their businesses are largely fine... it’s Main Street that’s screwed, and the impacts will take a while to move up (as D1 pointed out)

smart

That post reminded me so much of the sportscasters saying completely random stuff to “predict” which team wins

Well the quarterbacks mom just bought a new house, so he’s gonna be distracted

funny

...feeling right now

Same! 😅

Same!

CDC revised the mortality numbers down this weekend based on new data. Not sure why this hasn’t hit the news yet because it’s pretty significant.

The new numbers are in line with a study out of John Hopkins.

I hear you... I've been steadily putting in 50% of my cash per week, holding on to another 50%. If it goes up, I'm still in. If it goes down, I can go in more or stop going in. Shrugs.

A shit ton of money is sitting in money market accounts, you are not alone

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